Imminent FDA Decision Could End Obesity in America...

...and spark a 224,000% sales surge for one tiny micro-cap stock. Channelnomics says it "Could have a greater impact on the world than artificial intelligence." BMO Capital calls it "A goldmine for investors." The Wall Street Journal says it's "A Gold rush."

Americans' refusal to keep paying higher prices may be dealing a final blow to US inflation spike

CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
August 12, 2024

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The great inflation spike of the past three years is nearly spent -- and economists credit American consumers for helping slay it.

Some of America's largest companies, from Amazon to Disney to Yum Brands, say their customers are increasingly seeking cheaper alternative products and services, searching for bargains or just avoiding items they deem too expensive. Consumers aren't cutting back enough to cause an economic downturn. Rather, economists say, they appear to be returning to pre-pandemic norms, when most companies felt they couldn't raise prices very much without losing business.

"While inflation is down, prices are still high, and I think consumers have gotten to the point where they're just not accepting it," Tom Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, said last week at a conference of business economists. "And that's what you want: The solution to high prices is high prices."

A more price-sensitive consumer helps explain why inflation has appeared to be steadily falling toward the Federal Reserve's 2% target, ending a period of painfully high prices that strained many people's budgets and darkened their outlooks on the economy. It also assumed a central place in the presidential election, with inflation leading many Americans to turn sour on the Biden-Harris administration's handling of the economy.

The reluctance of consumers to keep paying more has forced companies to slow their price increases -- or even to cut them. The result is a cooling of inflation pressures.

Other factors have also helped tame inflation, including the healing of supply chains, which has boosted the availability of cars, trucks, meats and furniture, among other items, and the high interest rates engineered by the Fed, which slowed sales of homes, cars and appliances and other interest rate-sensitive purchases.

Still, a key question now is whether shoppers will pull back so much as to put the economy at risk. Consumer spending makes up more than two-thirds of economic activity. With evidence emerging that the job market is cooling, a drop in spending could potentially derail the economy. Such fears caused stock prices to plummet a week ago, though markets have since rebounded.

This week, the government will provide updates on both inflation and the health of the American consumer. On Wednesday, it will release the consumer price index for July. It's expected to show that prices -- excluding volatile food and energy costs -- rose just 3.2% from a year earlier. That would be down from 3.3% in June and would be the lowest such year-over-year inflation figure since April 2021.

And on Thursday, the government will report last month's retail sales, which are expected to have climbed a decent 0.3% from June. Such a gain would suggest that while Americans have become vigilant about their money, they are still willing to spend.

Many businesses have noticed.

"We're seeing lower average selling prices ... right now because customers continue to trade down on price when they can," said Andrew Jassy, CEO of Amazon.

David Gibbs, CEO of Yum Brands, which owns Taco Bell, KFC and Pizza Hut, told investors that a more cost-conscious consumer has slowed its sales, which slipped 1% in the April-June quarter at stores open for at least a year.

"Ensuring we provide consumers affordable options," Gibbs said, "has been an area of greater focus for us since last year."

Other companies are cutting prices outright. Dormify, an online retailer that sells dorm supplies, is offering comforters starting at $69, down from $99 a year ago.

According to the Fed's "Beige Book," an anecdotal collection of business reports from around the country that is released eight times a year, companies in nearly all 12 Fed districts have described similar experiences.

"Almost every district mentioned retailers discounting items or price-sensitive consumers only purchasing essentials, trading down in quality, buying fewer items or shopping around for the best deals," the Beige Book said last month.

Most economists say consumers are still spending enough to sustain the economy consistently. Barkin said most of the businesses in his district -- which covers Virginia, West Virginia, Maryland and North and South Carolina -- report that demand remains solid, at least at the right price.

"The way I'd put it is, consumers are still spending, but they're choosing," Barkin said.

In a speech a couple of weeks ago, Jared Bernstein, who leads the Biden administration's Council of Economic Advisers, mentioned consumer caution as a reason why inflation is nearing the end of a "round trip" back to the Fed's 2% target level.

Emerging from the pandemic, Bernstein noted, consumers were flush with cash after receiving several rounds of stimulus checks and having slashed their spending on in-person services. Their improved finances "gave certain firms the ability to flex a pricing power that was much less prevalent pre-pandemic." After COVID, consumers were "less responsive to price increases," Bernstein said.

As a result, "the old adage that the cure for high prices is high prices (was) temporarily disengaged," Bernstein said.

So some companies raised prices even more than was needed to cover their higher input costs, thereby boosting their profits. Limited competition in some industries, Bernstein added, made it easier for companies to charge more.

Barkin noted that before the pandemic, inflation remained low as online shopping, which makes price comparisons easy, became increasingly prevalent. Major retailers also held down costs, and increased U.S. oil production brought down gas prices.

"A price increase was so rare," Barkin said, "that if someone came to you with a 5% or 10% price increase, you almost just threw them out, like, 'How could you possibly do it?' "

That changed in 2021.

"There are labor shortages, Barkin said. "Supply chain shortages. And the price increases are coming to you from everywhere. Your gardener is raising your prices, and you don't have the capacity to do anything other than accept them."

The economist Isabella Weber at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, dubbed this phenomenon "sellers' inflation" in 2023. In an influential paper, she wrote that "publicly reported supply chain bottlenecks" can "create legitimacy for price hikes" and "create acceptance on the part of consumers to pay higher prices."

Consumers are no longer so accepting, Barkin said.

"People have a little bit more time to stop and say, 'How do I feel about paying $9.89 for a 12-pack of Diet Coke when I used to pay $5.99?' They don't like it that much, and so people are making choices."

Barkin said he expects this trend to continue to slow price increases and cool inflation.

"I'm actually pretty optimistic that over the next few months, we're going to see good readings on the inflation side," he said. "All the elements of inflation seem to be settling down."

Continue Reading...

Popular

Mother Sells Taylor Swift Tickets Over Star's Endorsement Of Kamala Harris: 'I'm Gonna Shake It Off, And I'm Done With You'

A mother has chosen to sell the Taylor Swift concert tickets she had bought as a birthday present for her daughter in response to the pop star's recent endorsement of Kamala Harris.

Harris, Trump Films To Hit Theaters Weeks Before 2024 Election: One Candidate Tried To Block Movie From Release

Movies about Kamala Harris and Donald Trump hit theaters in October. Find out the differences between the movie and why one candidate wants a ban.

My TOP Altcoin for Right Now Is... - Ad

Searching for the top investment opportunity in crypto? Look no further. Our $3 report gives you the full scoop. You'll get this exciting token's name, our recommended investment strategy, and growth projections. Time is of the essence with this one...

Americans Split On Election Result Acceptance Between Harris And Trump, Here Is The Candidate They Think More Likely To Accept Voters' Verdict

A survey conducted by ABC News/Ipsos has shed light on the American public's confidence in the acceptance of the upcoming November presidential election results by Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump.

Top 2 Energy Stocks That Are Ticking Portfolio Bombs

Two stocks in the energy sector could be flashing a real warning to investors who value momentum as a key criteria in their trading decisions.

Top AI Stock (It's Not MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN or AAPL) - Ad

Ross Givens says the #1 artificial intelligence stock is NOT Microsoft, Google, Amazon or Apple, not even Nvidia. Nope -- his research is pointing to a tiny, under-the-radar stock that's trading for just a few dollars right now... And has lined up major partnerships with Honda, Netflix, Pandora, Mercedes Benz and many, many others.

DHL sues MyPillow, alleging company founded by Mike Lindell owes $800,000

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) — Package is suing MyPillow, alleging the company synonymous with its founder, chief pitchman and election denier Mike Lindell owes nearly $800,000 for unpaid bills.

McCormick's hedge fund days are a double-edged sword in Pennsylvania's Senate race

HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — Before he ran for the U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania, was a big name on Wall Street.

Turkey's Spy Chief Meets With Hamas To Discuss Cease-Fire In Gaza: Reports

Turkey's intelligence chief met with Hamas in Ankara to discuss Gaza ceasefire negotiations, as Turkey denounces Israel's assault and conducts intensive diplomacy.

Don't Buy Another Stock Until You See This - Ad

We face a widespread collapse unlike anything we've seen in our lifetimes. By taking 4 simple steps today you can stay safe from the coming catastrophe. Which is why I want to rush you my new book "Midnight in America" FOR FREE.

Elon Musk Comments On Why They Want To Kill Trump, DeSantis Promises Florida's Own Probe

A second assassination attempt on Donald Trump was foiled by the U.S. Secret Service while he was golfing in Florida, with political figures from both parties condemning the incident and reaffirming the importance of denouncing political violence.

September Market Seasonality: Why This Month Is Historically The Toughest For Investors

As the market enters September, investors brace for what is historically the most difficult month of the year for equities.

Oil Surge Predicted...But Are You Ready? - Ad

Do you own oil and gas stocks? Or are you thinking about buying some? If so, you need to see my #1 oil play for 2024. But it's NOT oil stocks, futures, or anything you've likely heard about. Rather, it's an unusual way to potentially bank monthly income from the oil and gas markets.

Trump plans to launch his sons' crypto business on Monday, 50 days before Election Day

WASHINGTON (AP) — Former President Donald Trump plans to deliver remarks next Monday about cryptocurrency and the launch of the company , a crypto platform controlled by the Republican nominee's sons Donald Jr. and Eric.

Investigators say dispatching errors led to Union Pacific train crash that killed 2 workers

OMAHA, Neb. (AP) — Dispatching errors combined with the failure of two backup systems allowed a Union Pacific train to that had been parked on a side track for nine months in Southern California two years ago, killing an engineer and a conductor, according to a report issued Thursday.

America's Slow Decline into Hell - Ad

As Kamala Harris rises to power, her 3-word agenda threatens every American's freedom and financial security. Get the inside scoop and

China's Chipmaking Investments Top US, Taiwan, South Korea Combined: What It Means For Nvidia, ASML

China invests $25 billion in chipmaking equipment, surpassing spending by South Korea, Taiwan, and the U.S. This could impact top chipmakers and suppliers like NVIDIA and ASML.

Exposed: Democrats' Secret Plan to Keep Trump Out of the White House - Ad

Former advisor to the CIA, the Pentagon and the White House Jim Rickards just released this shocking new video exposing Democrats' secret plan to keep Trump out of the White House... Even if he wins the election. See the details and learn how to prepare... Because this could trigger the biggest constitutional crisis in our nation's history.

Turkey seeks to join the BRICS bloc of emerging economies, a Kremlin official says

MOSCOW (AP) — NATO member Turkey has applied for membership in the , a senior Kremlin official said Wednesday, as Russia and China seek to counter the West's global influence.

The "Amazon Coin" -- To Be Bigger Than Bitcoin? - Ad

Starting September 23rd, this tiny 3-cent crypto could partner with one of the biggest companies in the world... Amazon. Declassified video reveals "Amazon Coin" ahead of $27 trillion crypto revolution. One team of crypto experts have identified it as the most promising crypto of 2024.

Trump Misunderstands Taiwan's Role In Chip Industry, Says Economy Minister: 'The President Has A Lot On His Plate'

Trump had earlier suggested that Taiwan should compensate the U.S. for defense, accusing the island nation of taking American semiconductor business.

Do Not Day Trade (Do This Instead) - Ad

Forget day trading (especially in markets like these). Trade OVERNIGHT instead! I've uncovered a shocking way to take 100% certain events (mandated by the U.S. Government)...And target OVERNIGHT payouts like: 253%... 327%... Even 383%! Enough to potentially hand you profits of $25,300... $32,700... heck even $38,300!

A key employee who called the Titan unsafe will testify before the Coast Guard

A key employee who labeled unsafe prior to its last, fatal voyage was set to testify Tuesday before U.S. Coast Guard investigators.

Analysts Are Projecting "Safe-Haven" Stock Will Nearly Double - Ad

Already up nearly 50% in the last 6 months this gold company has an analyst target nearly twice its current price. With 40+ investment banks and funds already invested it's no wonder this $1.3B company (trading under $2) is grabbing investor attention.

UK says it's suspending some arms exports to Israel over the risk of breaking international law

LONDON (AP) — U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer's government said Monday that it's suspending exports of some weapons to Israel because they could be used to break international law — a move with limited military impact intended to increase pressure by Israel's frustrated allies for an end to .

A 10,000% Dividend?!? - Ad

Have you seen this strange oil investment? It's NOT a stock, bond, or private company...It has NO age requirements...You do NOT need to be accredited to participate... And you can get in for as little as $25.

Stanley Cup champion Panthers agree to extend arena deal with Broward County through at least 2033

FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. (AP) — The Stanley Cup champion Florida Panthers are extending their operating agreement with Broward County for five more years, ensuring that the team remains in the market through 2033 and likely well beyond.

SEC Charges Galois Capital With Custody Rule Violations, Misleading Investors

SEC charges Florida-based firm Galois Capital for violating the Custody Rule and misleading investors about crypto assets.

Red-Hot AI Stock "Disappearing" Soon? (Get In Now) - Ad

Right now, there's an AI stock on the verge of being snapped up by a giant company... And when it does, its price could go flying. The potential gains could be astronomical. You want to get in before that happens... Otherwise the opportunity could pass you by. Your window to buy in is right now...

Nvidia, Intel And Other Top Chipmakers Grapple With Gender Disparity Despite AI Surge: Report

Despite women constituting the majority of undergraduate and advanced degree holders, they account for less than 23% of engineering and computer science graduates.

US-sanctioned Serbia official meets Putin, says Belgrade is an ally and won't join Western penalties

Serbia is a Russian ally and will never impose sanctions against Moscow or join NATO, the Balkan nation’s deputy prime minister said Wednesday as he met with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Man Who Called Nvidia at $1.10 Says Buy This Now... - Ad

In 2004, a man predicted Nvidia's rise. Now, he says a new company, which IPO'd in 2023, could soar like Nvidia. It signed a major deal with Apple for its AI tech in iPhones and iMacs. Could it be the next trillion-dollar company? See why he believes it's among "The Next Magnificent Seven."

Asian stocks mixed amid weak China data after Wall Street closes the best week of 2024

HONG KONG (AP) — Asian stocks were mixed on Monday with several key markets closed for a holiday, after U.S. stocks finished their best week of the year and climbed to the cusp of their records.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright priceactionea.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service