The 7th Trillion Dollar Company?

There are six American companies worth over $1 trillion. Could there be a seventh soon? This company signed a massive deal with Apple until 2040 and is also involved with Nvidia, Google, and Samsung. Could this be the next trillion-dollar company? A top stock expertpicker thinks so.

Wealthier Americans are driving retail spending and powering US economy

CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
October 18, 2024

WASHINGTON (AP) -- It's a trend that has surprised many: Why, despite being squeezed by high prices, have Americans kept spending at retail stores and restaurants at a robust pace?

One key reason is a relatively simple one: Wealthier consumers, boosted by strong gains in income, home equity and stock market wealth, have increasingly driven the spending.

That trend, documented by Federal Reserve research, represents something of a shift from the pre-pandemic period. And it suggests that consumer spending, the primary driver of the U.S. economy, could help sustain healthy growth this year and next.

Lower-income consumers, by contrast, have been disproportionately squeezed by higher-priced rent, groceries and other necessities, leaving them less able to spend on discretionary items, like electronics, entertainment and restaurant meals, than they were before the pandemic. Though their spending is starting to rebound as inflation-adjusted incomes rise, it could be years before their finances fully recover.

The disparities help explain the gap between gloomy consumer sentiment and widespread evidence of a healthy U.S. economy -- a major dynamic in the presidential race that is now in its final weeks. Only a portion of the American population is fueling most of the growth that is evident in government economic data.

The trends also help illustrate how the economy has managed to keep expanding at a solid pace even though the Federal Reserve, until last month, kept its key interest rate at its highest level in more than two decades. Despite the much higher borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards that resulted from the Fed's rate hikes, inflation-adjusted consumer spending rose 3% in 2022 and 2.5% in 2023. And it increased at a 2.8% annual rate in the April-June quarter, the government said last month.

On Thursday, the Commerce Department reported that retail sales in the United States rose 0.4% from August to September, a solid gain that suggested that shoppers are confident enough in the economy to continue spending freely. Restaurant sales jumped 1%, a particularly encouraging sign because it meant that many people felt they could spend on meals outside the home. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta now estimates that the economy grew at a strong 3.4% in the July-September quarter.

Higher-income households have been fortified by huge gains in housing and stock market wealth since the pandemic. Home values have marched steadily up, fueled by high demand and an unusually low supply of houses. And the stock market has been consistently hitting new highs, with the S&P 500 index up a sizzling 22.5% for the year. Roughly 80% of stock market value is owned by the richest 10% of U.S. households.

"It speaks to the ongoing strength of those Americans, which is still carrying overall spending," said Michael Pearce, deputy chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics.

Housing and stock values have soared in particular for the wealthiest one-tenth of Americans over the past four years. The value of their home equity has leapt 70% from the first quarter of 2020 through the second quarter of this year, according to Fed data -- to $17.6 trillion. Their stock and mutual fund wealth has jumped 86%, to just under $37 trillion. Though inflation has eroded some of those gains, they are still quite substantial.

Such sharp growth in wealth has reduced the need for affluent Americans to save from their paychecks while still ramping up their spending. A report last week by Fed economists found that before the pandemic, retail spending had been rising for all income groups at roughly the same pace. But about three years ago, the trend shifted: Upper- and middle-income consumers started spending at a much faster pace than lower-earners.

By August 2024, inflation-adjusted spending on retail goods was nearly 17% higher than it was in January 2018 for upper-income households, defined as those earning more than $100,000. For middle-income households -- earning $60,000 to $100,000 -- their spending rose 13.3% during the same period, the Fed study found. And for those earning less than $60,000, spending has risen just 7.9% since 2018. It actually fell from mid-2021 through mid-2023.

"Middle- and high-income households have been fueling the strong demand for retail goods," Fed economist Sinem Hacioglu Hoke and two colleagues wrote.

Among those who have felt pressure to spend cautiously is Helaine Rapkin, a 69-year-old teacher who was shopping last week at a Kohl's in Ramsey, New Jersey, looking for discounts on athletic wear and gifts for her nephew, niece and daughter. Rapkin said she's wrestling with higher costs on a range of items and isn't feeling the benefits of a dramatically reduced inflation rate.

"I am not feeling good at all," she said. "I can't believe how expensive things have gotten...Clothes or food."

Pearce, in his own research, has found that since the pandemic, lower-income Americans have had to cut their spending on discretionary items. Inflation sharply increased the portion of their income that they had to spend on housing and food, leaving little for other purchases.

As a result, for the lowest-income one-fifth of Americans -- those earning less than $28,000 -- the share of their spending on discretionary items fell 2.5 percentage points by the second quarter of this year compared with 2019. It also declined for the second-lowest one-fifth of households and for the middle fifth. But for the wealthiest one-fifth, the share of their spending on discretionary purchases actually increased.

"This has clearly been a very large shock to households, particularly those at the lower end," Pearce said. "What surprised me is how little has been clawed back."

One sign of the struggles that lower-income consumers have faced is that the proportion of borrowers who are behind on credit cards or auto loans has risen in the past two years to the highest levels in about a decade.

Karen Dynan, an economist at Harvard and a nonresident fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, suggested, though, that such trends aren't likely to derail the overall economy.

"There are increasing cracks in consumers' spending," she said. "But it's not yet a broader economic story."

Dynan and Pearce say they're optimistic that consumers overall -- including lower-income ones -- will keep spending in the coming months as inflation-adjusted incomes keep rising, restoring more of Americans' purchasing power.

"We're probably past the worst, the most intense pressures on spending from both the inflation shock and from rising interest rates," Pearce said. "Now, I think the outlook is pretty strong."

___

AP Retail Writer Anne D'Innocenzio contributed to this report from New York.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Elon Musk Want His 11 Kids, Their Mothers To Live In Secret Compound He Bought, New Report Says

Elon Musk could be building a new family compound made up of several mansions to house his children and their mothers, according to a new report.

Our No. 1 Defense Stock to Own Right Now - Ad

In multiple wargames, U.S. forces were overwhelmed and unable to stop Chinese amphibious assaults from seizing the island. With tensions at a boiling point, the economic fallout could be devastating. Get the details on the weapons makers set to boom if war breaks out.

Trump Has Asked Me To Do 3 Things, Says Robert Kennedy Jr.

Robert Kennedy Jr. revealed Trump's directive to tackle health agency corruption, promote science, and end chronic disease.

Trump's Historical Hiccup: A Tale Of MyPillow Guy Mike Lindell, Al Capone, And Confusion

Trump delivered a disjointed speech that included a bizarre tale about Mike Lindell and Al Capone, leaving the crowd puzzled but urging supporters to vote.

Urgent New Announcement from Porter Stansberry - Ad

"We recommended Nvidia in 2016, now we're recommending this little-known AI company." There is only one artificial intelligence company that matters... and it's not even an AI company. It's this obscure military backed contractor that the AI market needs to survive.

Listen to business owners and voters in Erie, Pennsylvania. They could help decide the White House.

ERIE, Pa. (AP) — It wasn’t much when he bought it, but Michael Hooks has made the old garage his own haven. And the city of Erie knows it. Half a dozen cars honk as they pass by one October afternoon, the people hanging out of car windows to wave hello at him.

Trump Won't Ask Haley Or Pompeo To Join New Administration

Donald Trump has announced that neither former Nikki Haley nor Mike Pompeo will be included in his new administration.

24/7 Automated Profits in Crypto - Ad

October through December are historically among the most bullish months for crypto. WaveBot -- an automated trading tool that takes all the guesswork out of profiting in crypto. It trades key levels, buying dips and selling at the perfect time, 24/7. All you need to do is set it up. After that, WaveBot takes care of everything.

Apple, Microsoft And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Thursday

With U.S. stock futures trading lower this morning on Thursday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:

Buffett, Bloomberg, & 48 Congress Members Are Buying 1 Sector - Ad

Why are Warren Buffett, Jeff Bezos, Michael Bloomberg, "The Walmart Family", Bill Gates, and 48 members of Congress shifting their stocks in a frenzy? And why are they all piling into ONE unique corner of the market... The last time we saw the world's wealthiest investors move their cash into this corner of the market, Stocks exploded 2,020%, 5,609% Even as high as 8,437% in just ONE year. Now, it's all happening again.

Apple Begins Shifting iPhone 17 Production In India, Cook's China Optimism, And More: This Week In Appleverse

From initiating the production of the iPhone 17 in India to CEO Tim Cook's positive outlook on the company's performance in China, the tech giant is not slowing down.

The Next Wave of Tech Is Beyond AI - Ad

Big Tech is currently making a series of peculiar investments in a few strange companies. In fact, Elon Musk says these investments are critical when it comes to solving the number one problem facing AI. Now, Silicon Valley legend Michael Robinson has identified two companies that could play a significant role in the solution. Their stocks just may be the key to AI 2.0.

Appeals court says Colorado ban on gun sales to those under 21 can take effect

DENVER (AP) — A federal appeals court ruled Tuesday that a Colorado law raising the age to purchase a gun from 18 to 21 can take effect while the legal battle over it continues.

China's president will unveil a megaport in Peru, but locals say they're being left out

CHANCAY, Peru (AP) — On the edge of Peru’s coastal desert, a remote fishing town where a third of all residents have no running water is being transformed into a to cash in on the inexorable rise of .

Apple's AI Dream Team: The Companies You Don't Know - Ad

Apple's debut AI device is set to redefine the market, but here's the twist -- they could be backed by a network of under-the-radar companies. These could be the real winners as Apple enters the AI race.

Tim Cook Underscores 'Several Positive Signs' In Apple's China Performance, Refrains From Talking About Economic Stimulus: 'Don't Want To Ad-Lib On The Effect Of It'

Apple CEO Tim Cook expressed cautious optimism about Apple's stable performance in China, highlighting record-high active devices and strong sales, while declining to speculate on the impact of China's economic stimulus.

Forget Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, and Google - Ad

Market Wizard Larry Benedict: "Forget 99% of stocks: It's possible to make all the money you need for a happy retirement with just this one."

Engines on 1.4 million Honda vehicles might fail, so US regulators open an investigation

DETROIT (AP) — The U.S. government's highway safety agency is investigating complaints that on as many as 1.4 million Honda and Acura vehicles.

Seven Unknown AI Stocks That Could Dominate the Next Six Years - Ad

The original "Magnificent Seven" stocks generated 16,800% over the last 20 years. But now a new set of AI stocks is set to take over. Alex Green dubs them "The Next Magnificent Seven." And he's arguing that just $1,000 in each could turn into more than $1 million in less than six years.

A Palestinian-Israeli collective made one of 2024's most lauded docs. Will it be released in the US?

NEW YORK (AP) — Basel Adra, a Palestinian, and Yuval Abraham, an Israeli, spent five years making a movie that depicts daily life in Adra’s village under . The resulting film, has been hailed as one of the year's most powerful documentaries, winning prizes at international film festivals.

Republicans On The Verge Of Seizing Control Of US House, Paving Way For Bold Reforms In Trump's Second Term

The Republican party is on the brink of securing control of the U.S. House of Representatives, a development that could significantly impact the legislative landscape when Donald Trump makes a White House comeback in January.

The Secret Weapon You Need for This Bull Market - Ad

There's a powerful tool that can remove all the guesswork from trading. It's built to trade the key levels for you, buying dips and selling at the right time, without you having to lift a finger. For a limited time, the creators of this incredible tool are holding a free Workshop where you can see the software in action.

Financial market worries over the UK budget appear to ease

LONDON (AP) — Worries about this week's within financial markets appeared to ease Friday with the interest rates charged on British debt steadying and the pound rising against most other currencies.

This Weight Loss Drug Loophole Is Set to Make Investors Incredibly Wealthy - Ad

Thanks to this rare FDA loophole, the world's most in-demand weight loss drugs have effectively just gone "off patent" for a short amount of time... Creating a once-in-a-lifetime profit window for investors.

South Dakota's Adult-Use Cannabis Legalization Ballot Sparks Major Funding Race

South Dakota's cannabis legalization vote sees nearly equal funding, with industry backing and strong local opposition shaping the debate.

Retail sales up solidly in October as Americans showed continued willingness to spend

WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. retail sales rose last month at a healthy pace in the latest sign that consumer spending is driving the economy's steady growth.

Early Warning: A Deep Crack Is Forming in the US Economy - Ad

Stocks are booming thanks to Trump's landslide victory. Yet one former Trump advisor says the picture is less rosy than it seems. "I've found a deep crack forming in the foundations of the US economy," he says. "And before too long, it could tear our country apart." It's critical you learn more today, BEFORE it impacts your money and your retirement.

If You Invested $1,000 In Apple A Decade Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Now

A recent analysis looked at how a $1,000 investment in Apple Inc. would have fared, following the tech giant's latest earnings report and the launch of its new AI-driven features.

Warren Buffett's Apple Stake Reduction Spurs $97B Cash Surge—Analysts Speculate This Could Be The Reason Behind Berkshire Hathaway's Massive Cash Pile

Warren Buffett, the legendary investor, has made a significant move by reducing his stake in Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) and other stocks, generating a whopping $97 billion in gains for his company, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK-A) (NYSE: BRK-B).

Wavebot: The Automated Trading Tool for This Bull Market - Ad

October through December are historically among the most bullish months for crypto. WaveBot -- an automated trading tool that takes all the guesswork out of profiting in crypto. It trades key levels, buying dips and selling at the perfect time, 24/7. All you need to do is set it up. After that, WaveBot takes care of everything.

Jim Cramer Warns Apple Stock Should Have 'Never Been Up That Much' After Q3 Earnings Even As This Analyst Defends iPhone 16 Launch

Jim Cramer argued that Apple's stock was overhyped prior to its forecast cut, suggesting the market is now more "reasonable," while Wedbush analyst Dan Ives praised Apple's strong iPhone 16 launch.

Trump And Musk Want To Sidestep Senate Floor Votes On Key Confirmations

President-elect Donald Trump and billionaire Elon Musk are endorsing the use of recess appointments, a move that could potentially sidestep conventional confirmation procedures.

Shocking Footage from Bill Gates' $100 Billion AI Project - Ad

Jeff Brown flew to Wisconsin to witness Bill Gates' $100 billion AI project firsthand. What he uncovered will blow your mind!

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright priceactionea.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service