What Bill O'Reilly Said Floored Me

Bill O'Reilly has trusted one expert for investment advice for over 20 years... Alexander Green. Now, Alex is revealing Trump's impact on YOUR Money, like how AI technology could amplify Trump's policies and details on 3 stocks that could rise 20-fold by 2029.

Why are interest rates rising when the Fed has been cutting them?

STAN CHOE
January 16, 2025

NEW YORK (AP) -- What's shaking Wall Street seems so backwards.

Swings in the bond market recently sent the yield on the 10-year Treasury above 4.80% and its highest level since 2023. That's injected nervousness into the U.S. stock market and knocked indexes off their records.

The bond market's moves might seem strange given that the Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates three times starting in September. But it's a reminder that markets care more about the future than the present. And the bond market is worried about potentially higher inflation ahead, along with a U.S. economy that may not need more help from easier interest rates. That's hurting stock prices.

The Fed has cut its main interest rate by a full percentage point since September. The intent is to give the economy breathing room after the Fed earlier hiked the federal funds rate to a two-decade high in hopes of slowing the economy enough to stifle inflation.

But the Fed's influence is limited when it comes to the interest rates that are currently knocking the stock market around, chiefly the 10-year Treasury yield. The Fed controls the federal funds rate, which is a very short-term interest rate that dictates what banks charge each other for borrowing money overnight.

The moves for the 10-year Treasury yield, meanwhile, are set by investors. Those investors do take the Fed's moves into account as they decide how much yield they'll need to earn from U.S. Treasurys before they'll lend money to the federal government. But they're also factoring in where the economy and inflation are heading.

And the 10-year Treasury yield ironically began rising in September, up from 3.65%, just about when the federal funds rate began sinking for the first time since 2020.

The 10-year yield rose, even as the Fed was cutting overnight interest rates, because expectations for both economic growth and for inflation were rising. Much of that is due to a string of reports showing the U.S. economy remains much more solid than expected. Inflation was also more stubborn to ease, though this past week's reading offered more optimism and helped Treasury yields give back some of their big gains.

In late 2018, something similar happened in the market, but in the opposite direction. The Fed had been increasing the federal funds rate since early 2017, and the 10-year Treasury yield likewise climbed for much of that stretch. But the 10-year yield began turning lower before the end of 2018. It even continued to sink after the Fed hiked the federal funds rate in December 2018, guessing correctly that rate increases would stop before putting too much pressure on the economy.

President-elect Donald Trump is also a big factor. His proposals to place tariffs on imported goods could push up inflation, while his preference for lower tax rates could inflate the U.S. government's debt further and scare investors into requiring higher interest rates for the added risk.

The Federal Reserve itself warned recently that it may cut interest rates only twice in 2025 after earlier projecting four cuts. Traders on Wall Street are questioning whether the Fed may not cut short-term interest rates at all in 2025.

Even Wednesday's better-than-expected reading on an underlying measure of inflation wasn't enough to give the market an all clear. "We believe It likely will take several months of slowing inflation to get the Fed -- and the market -- thinking about another rate cut," said Gary Schlossberg, market strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

Continue Reading...

Popular

South Carolina treasurer calls questions of his role in $1.8 billion accounting error a witch hunt

COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — South Carolina Treasurer Curtis Loftis said Wednesday that calls for him to resign over that left the state trying to figure out what happened to a $1.8 billion fund amounted to a witch hunt.

Nvidia faces a reckoning as an upstart rival raises questions about Wall Street's darling

NEW YORK (AP) — The superstar run for Nvidia’s stock the last few years has been astonishing. So was its tumble Monday, which caused $595 billion in wealth to vanish. That’s about as much as PepsiCo, McDonalds, Starbucks and Target are worth, combined.

This Electric Boating Stock Has Potential To Soar - Ad

While competitors struggle, one company is leading the electric boating industry with scalable production, strategic partnerships, and a revolutionary powertrain. In a market set to move, this stock is quietly gaining momentum.

Tesla Likely To Sell Optimus To Rivals In 2026, Elon Musk Says Revenue Potential Of Bot North Of $10 Trillion: 'It's Real Bananas'

Tesla Inc CEO Elon Musk on Wednesday said that the company intends to make several thousand units of its Optimus humanoid robot this year for deployment in its own factory which will inform the next version of the robot slated for launch next year and likely to be sold to rival companies.

Dubai's ceaseless boom is putting strains on its residents

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — — and some residents are starting to feel burned.

Live Demo: New Tech to Surpass AI? - Ad

I want to show you a free demonstration. Of one of the most incredible technologies you've ever seen. You'll be getting a peek at the cutting edge... A decade from now, you'll remember where you were when you saw this video.

NASA's 2 stuck astronauts take their first spacewalk together

CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. (AP) — NASA’s took their first spacewalk together Thursday, exiting the International Space Station almost eight months after moving in.

Microsoft reports 10% quarterly profit growth as it works to show AI investments paying off

REDMOND, Wash. (AP) — Microsoft Corp. said Wednesday that its profit for the October-December quarter grew 10% from the same time last year as it works to capitalize on the huge amounts of money it has spent to advance its artificial intelligence technology.

Crypto Stocks Are Heating Up - Ad

At the center of this transformation is a game-changing platform that's experiencing explosive growth with $41 million in revenue in just nine months. The stock has doubled in the last 45 days, but this is only the beginning.

Cathie Wood Dumps Tesla Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings, Ark Invest Loads Up On Amazon

On Tuesday, Jan. 28, 2025 Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest sold shares of Tesla ahead of its fourth-quarter earnings. Wood purchased Amazon shares on the same day.

Shipments of uranium ore can resume under agreement reached with the Navajo Nation

Shipments of uranium ore from just south of the Grand Canyon are expected to resume in February after the Navajo Nation reached a settlement with the mining company, clearing the way for trucks to transport the ore across the largest Native American reservation in the U.S.

Trump Could Make Surprising Tech Announcement Any Day - Ad

Elon Musk is heavily invested in a cutting-edge new technology. In fact, Musk has turned the new president on to this breakthrough. And President Trump could make an announcement any day that could spike the price of stocks in this sector.

Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, IBM, Nvidia: Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors' Radars Today

On Wednesday, January 29, 2025, TSLA, META, MSFT, IBM, NVDA were among the stocks that dominated investor attention on the day Federal Reserve chose to keep the interest rates steady.

Elon Musk Is 'Kind Of Glad' Many Didn't Pick Up A Tesla FSD Subscription: Here's Why

Tesla Inc CEO Elon Musk said on Wednesday that the company will likely have to update hardware for customers whose vehicles are equipped with an older version of the AI hardware called Hardware 3, for it to achieve fully unsupervised autonomous driving with full self-driving (FSD) driver assistance software.

Crypto Stocks Surge Amid Market Boom - Ad

Crypto stocks are on fire as Bitcoin hits all-time highs. One under-the-radar company is leading the charge, managing $2.1 billion in client assets and seeing record trading volumes. With crypto adoption skyrocketing, this could be a game-changing opportunity.

UK Treasury chief backs third runway at London's Heathrow Airport

LONDON (AP) — The U.K. government is backing the construction of a third runway at London’s Heathrow Airport, Treasury chief Rachel Reeves said Wednesday.

3 AI Stocks Tied to President Trump's White House Return - Ad

Trump's return to the White House coincides with AI's -- and Nvidia's -- continued boom. That's why the President is crucial to Michael Robinson's 2025 AI Blueprint. Michael is a 40-year veteran of Silicon Valley has an AI Blueprint featuring three companies working with Nvidia who could be poised to benefit now that Trump is back in the White House.

Bill Ackman Questions Whether DeepSeek AI's Hedge Fund Affiliate Profited From Nvidia's Sell-Off: 'A Fortune Could Have Been Made'

Billionaire investor Bill Ackman questioned whether DeepSeek's hedge fund affiliate potentially profited from Monday's tech stock rout, which saw Nvidia Corp. shares plunge 17% following the Chinese artificial intelligence startup's emergence as a potential disruptor.

Dan Ives Expects Meta And Microsoft To Stand Firm On $60 - $80 Billion AI Spending Plans Amid DeepSeek's Disruptive AI Model

Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives expects Meta Platforms Inc. and Microsoft Corp. to stand firm on their ambitious artificial intelligence spending plans during their upcoming earnings calls, despite recent market jitters over Chinese AI startup DeepSeek's emergence.

Undervalued Stock Riding the $22B Electric Boating Wave - Ad

In a booming $22 billion market, one company is redefining electric boating with record-breaking technology and strategic partnerships. With production scaling fast and an innovative powertrain already in demand.

Trump Slams Fed's 'Terrible Job' On Bank Regulation After Rate Hold, Vows To 'Unleash Lending For All American People'

President Donald Trump criticized the Federal Reserve's handling of inflation and banking regulation on Wednesday, following the central bank's decision to hold interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.5%.

Judge Blocks Trump's Order To Freeze Federal Grant Money

A federal judge in the District of Columbia on Tuesday afternoon temporarily blocked an executive order given by President Donald Trump that imposed a freeze of all federal grants and loans, putting $3 trillion in funding in jeopardy and entire industries on edge. 

The Next Big Opportunity in Electric Vehicles - Ad

The electric revolution is hitting the water, and one company is surging ahead with unmatched efficiency and groundbreaking tech. Positioned in a market expected to triple by 2033, This stock is making waves among smart investors.

US cyber agency's future role in elections remains murky under the Trump administration

WASHINGTON (AP) — The nation’s cybersecurity agency has played in helping states shore up the defenses of their voting systems, but its election mission appears uncertain amid sustained criticism from Republicans and key figures in the Trump administration.

MrBeast And Group Of Investors, Including Roblox CEO, Lock In Over $20 Billion For TikTok Takeover

A group of American investors, including YouTube star MrBeast and Roblox CEO David Baszucki, has secured over $20 billion for a potential TikTok takeover, but ByteDance has yet to respond to their bid.

The Most Brain-Dead Simple Way to Make Money... on Earth - Ad

First, he turned $50,000 into $5.3 million... now watch as this legendary trader reveals how you can use his easy "profit window trick" to pinpoint trades that deliver gains of 116%... 137%... and even 227%... In weeks (not years).

Nvidia Says DeepSeek An 'Illustration' Of How New AI Models Can Be Created While Being Export-Control Compliant Amid $600 Billion Market Value Plunge

Nvidia Corp. has thrown its support behind China's DeepSeek R1 artificial intelligence model, calling it "an excellent AI advancement" even as the startup's emergence triggered a historic $600 billion plunge in the chipmaker's market value on Monday.

Everyone aboard an American Airlines jet that collided with an Army helicopter is feared dead

ARLINGTON, Va. (AP) — At least 28 bodies were pulled from the icy waters of the Potomac River after an American Airlines jet carrying 60 passengers and four crew members collided with an Army helicopter while landing at Ronald Reagan National Airport near Washington, officials said Thursday.

My TOP Altcoin for Right Now Is... - Ad

Searching for the top investment opportunity in crypto? Look no further. Our $3 report gives you the full scoop. You'll get this exciting token's name, our recommended investment strategy, and growth projections. Time is of the essence with this one...

Robert Kiyosaki Foresees Bitcoin Surpassing US Dollar As 'Good Money'

Robert Kiyosaki, the acclaimed author of “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” has reiterated his preference for Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) over

Trump Could Make Surprising Tech Announcement Any Day - Ad

I want to show you a free demonstration. Of one of the most incredible technologies you've ever seen. You'll be getting a peek at the cutting edge... A decade from now, you'll remember where you were when you saw this video.

Meat and greet: Historic London market counting down the years

LONDON (AP) — Norman Gregory is an institution within an institution. He’s been working at the historic Smithfield wholesale meat market in central London since 1961, witnessing first hand the rapid transformation of the capital over the decades.

Stock market today: Asia shares mostly rise while some regional markets stay closed for holidays

TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly rose Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve opted for the first time since it began trying to help through easier rates in September.

Love or Hate Him -- You Have To See What Elon Could Do Next - Ad

It's not electric vehicles, green energy or space travel that Elon Musk will be remembered for.

Apple Surprises Users With Starlink Beta, Teams Up With Elon Musk's SpaceX And T-Mobile To Bring Satellite Texting For iPhone Users In iOS 18.3

Apple has partnered with SpaceX and T-Mobile to bring Starlink satellite texting to iPhones, with a limited beta test rolling out via iOS 18.3, marking a major step toward expanding connectivity in remote areas.

Tesla Stock Rises 5% After-Hours On FSD And New Vehicle Promises Despite Q4 Revenue Miss

Tesla Inc stock rose as much as 5% after hours over the company's promises of launching new and "more affordable" models in the first half of 2025, in addition to other promises regarding the deployment of autonomous vehicles and licensing of the company's full self-driving (FSD) driver assistance software to rivals.

Is This Defi Coin Your Next "10-Bagger" Investment? - Ad

Our #1 pick in decentralized finance is largely overlooked by mainstream investors (for now). This governance token could skyrocket as DeFi adoption surges with the smart money and institutions.

DeepSeek Suffers 'Degraded Performance,' Says Hit By 'Large-Scale Malicious Attacks' After Rapidly Emerging As App Store Chart Topper

Chinese AI startup DeepSeek faced significant cyberattacks amid its rapid rise, including topping the U.S. App Store and challenging AI giants with its cost-effective R1 language model.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright priceactionea.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service